01 June 2025

Headlines From Another Random Walk


Slow day for donnieTunes, but, on balance, a great day for other types of nutcase, "breakthroughs" and apocalyptic occurrences. 

Trump shares baseless conspiracy that Joe Biden died and was replaced by a clone

Southwest Egg Supply Shaken as Major Producer Shuts Down

Tomato Recall Escalates as FDA Issues Highest-Level Health Alert

Trump's claims about remedial math at Harvard don't add up

Engineers unveil radical new freight system that could make diesel trucks obsolete: 'Almost like a mini-airline'

Explosion rocks Russian railway amid terror claims, Putin raises alert

Hyundai’s Weird “Uni Wheel” Is Either a Full-On Revolution or Totally Pointless

Opinion: Bond auction shows Trump’s economic house of cards may soon collapse

US startup unveils fridge-sized machine that makes gasoline out of thin air

Officials report dramatic water rise at iconic lake after extreme weather — here's why this matters

Humanity May Achieve the Singularity Within the Next 6 Months, Scientists Suggest

Trans athlete AB Hernandez wins 2 Calif. H.S. jumping events

Birdbath Mistakes You’re Probably Making—And How to Fix Them

The ‘Man-Eater’ Screwworm Is Coming

Biggest Chicken Pot Pie Recalls In The US


Potato Panic in Russia: Prices Skyrocket, Putin Sounds the Alarm

140,000-year-old city found at bottom of ocean in ‘first physical evidence’ of lost world





31 May 2025

As The Flash Point Nears

As the flash point induced by all the calls: to general mayhem and violence, to kill people not toeing the line, to kill judges for judging, to drive SUVs into crowds that smell like diversity, to spray peaceful gatherings with vast magazines of 223 caliber bullets that tumble when they enter flesh and blood and can be dispersed with automatic weapon rapidity, to honor, worship and obey the fuhrer, and to kill all who don't, and to just plain get on with bugaloo, I am reposting this poem and comments I originally offered as satire.

I am re-posting it today, now that we see the post Constitution lay of the land with its attendant prediction of imminent reality.

It is, sadly, no longer satire.

MAGA got their election.

But they are not getting their expected place in the scheme of things.

As donnie is going to discover, when you unleash the sort of hate and horror that he has unleashed, the horror only grows and feeds on itself, the hate justifies self-feeding violence and it grows and grows until it ultimately and catastrophically plays itself out, and nothing is left to fight over.

************************************************

Originally posted 16 August 2022

************************************************

Of Course, I expect all who read this to realize it is total irony, and the fact is that in another, related post I said I might write this poem. donnie is a clear and present danger and his devil's spawn are going to bring the "rest of us" down such that we end up no better off than Afghanistan.  

 Blood and gore;

Let’s have a war;

Attack, attack;

And don’t look back;

They’re after donnine;

Not Louie or Johnny;

The gauntlet’s down;

Across the town;

And all over this whole great country;

So get your guns;

Get you knives;

Kiss your kids;

Kiss your wives;

And let’s all take back this country:

From the wimps;

From the queers;

From the blacks;

 And send out jeers;

To all those who would try to stop us;

Be sure to be loud and raucous;

About how we won’t be replaced;

And we won’t ever be chased;

Out of this place;

That we created;

With our white male christian toil and sweat;

And we will never let;

The other take it from us;

So:

Blood and gore;

Let’s have a war;

Attack, attack;

And don’t look back;

It’s our destiny;

For you and me;

Let’s bring this whole thing down

Around our ears.






Maybe The Democrats Should Do An End Run

 I recently saw AOC deliver the keynote address of the AOC and Bernie show.

It was good; it was a stemwinder; she obviously has a future in politics beyond the House.

But other than "get mad; act up; don't put up with this shit" there wasn't much tangible content there.

And when the masses leave the sun-drenched venues of brief Brigadoon-like manifestations of firebrand speeches from AOC and Bernie, and return to their dismal homes, jobs and families, past their MAGA lawn signs and expended 223 cartridges, scattered hither and yon, they turn on Fox and get back in the traces.

I think, without any research or evidence, that a meaningful tweak to the AOC/Bernie Format might deliver electoral success.

It needs an acronym; it needs a portable delivery medium; it needs - not many -  huge and rememberable calls to action.

Here's a snappy acronym.

V
M
R

Identify a Villain.

Explain their Malfeasance.

Demand Restitution.

For example, Big Oil looks to be a prime candidate.

From The Guardian: "The oil and gas industry has delivered $2.8bn (£2.3bn) a day in pure profit for the last 50 years, a new analysis has revealed."

I had a sense that that is a number so big that it might test my ability to comprehend it.

But I tried.

To comprehend it.

Here's what my calculator came up with.


I think that that is 51 trillion one hundred billion dollars.

Not a trivial sum.

Remember: that is profit, not revenue.

That got me to wondering what the US government has spent on average each year over the last fifty.

That turns out to be about 2.1 trillion dollars a year.

Toted up over fifty years, that's 105 trillion dollars.

We can't afford a first world health care safety net; we can't afford universal childcare; we can't afford free post-secondary education; we can't afford universal long term health care.

So we are told.

But we have one industry that is less than ten percent of our economy (it's 7.6%) generating profits amounting to about half of the US annual budget.

So, does Big Oil pay any taxes on all that money?

Some oil companies publicly state they pay around 35% in taxes, but financial analyses show their actual payments are far lower.

A recent report found that not a single major oil company paid the full 21% corporate tax rate.

Some companies, like Hess Corporation and Marathon Oil, paid $0 in federal income taxes despite making billions in profits.

Others, like APA Corporation and EQT Corporation, paid less than 1% in federal taxes.

So, let's get crackin'; let's call for action. 

Let's tax them at 35%.

And let's get, for all of us:

  • Universal Health Care
  • Free College
  • Free High Quality Child Care
  • Free Long Term Health Care
A good start: the rest is to be determined.

Here is the portable message delivery device that we hand out at all the spellbinding and stem-winding rallies that AOC, Bernie, and all other aspirers to leadership can muster over the next 42 months:



That's the message; that's the speech; it can be repeated incessantly by all of us - it's easy to remember; it's easy to want to do; it's the right thing to do - and it's a portal to a way out of our current grim plight into a decent future.

Finally.

And if this seems stupid, and if it seems extreme, always remember and never forget, this is politics, not economics; and it's one letter less than MAGA, so it's easier to remember.

30 May 2025

donnie Announces A Deal With Nissan

Today donnie went to West Mifflin in Pennsylvania and announced a "blockbuster deal" with Nissan.

donnie meant Nippon; he gets pretty confused around complex Japanese words.

Anyway, there's this blockbuster deal.

That's pretty much all we know; the rest is secret; if anybody tells they get deported.

Even so, the heavy thoughts on the street say that it's the same deal donnie opposed a few weeks back.

Now that his various overnight peace deals are all proving to be illusions - hallucinations even - he's looking in the old-deal dustbin and exhuming whatever he can find, announce and obfuscate.

Of those, Nissan looked pretty good, so donnie went to Mifflin.

The one thing known about the Nissan deal is that it involves only partial ownership by the Japanese company, whatever its name is.

I looked into that and, surprisingly, donnie isn't lying.

The deal involves two partial ownerships: partial one is Nippon and partial two is Nippon.

Or maybe it's Nissan.


 

It Was Foggy That Evening

 



28 May 2025

Headlines From A Random Walk 052825

President Donald Trump issued a new ultimatum to Canada on Tuesday, saying it can either pay $61 billion to be covered by the proposed U.S. "Golden Dome" missile defense system—or become the 51st state and get access to it free of charge.


RFK Jr. says he may bar scientists from publishing in top medical journals


California track star's family reacts to Trump shaking up girls' championship meet amid trans athlete drama


Trump pardoned a tax cheat. But only after his mom attended president’s $1 million dinner


Cost of Trump's meet-and-greets skyrockets in latest MAGA money-making scheme


Opinion: What Do We Even Call Our Current Trump Catastrophe?

27 May 2025

How Far Apart Do Soakers Need To Be Placed To Be Effective?

In a world that has devolved into something so simple that it's terminally boring: a 24-hour stream of inane, irrational, moronic and, sometimes, tactically coy assertions, mostly lies, coupled and intermingled artfully, tit for tat, with policy statements clearly concocted by the Heritage Foundation, my mind wanders to important questions.

I thank Bill Gates for Copilot.

Copilot always has the answer.

To the important questions that we all have these days.

This morning I hear that donnie is shutting down Harvard, and most of the US' top Universities - including University of Pennsylvania where donnie's father paid a guy to get donnie's degree for him (probably a good reason to shut it down).

I have heard, but can't verify, that unless Harvard erects puts up a solid gold statue of donnie in Harvard yard, Kristie Nome gets to shoot down Harvard's President in the yard; one wonders how that is going to help donnie in his mad pursuit of the Nobel Peace Prize.

Ho Hum.

Here is today's question of importance.

Noel: On a soaker sprinkler installation, how close to the seeds or plants does the soaker hose need to be to be effective?

Copilot: Great question! The placement of a soaker hose depends on the type of plants and soil composition. Generally, for annual plants, the hose should be 12-18 inches apart to ensure proper moisture distribution. For perennial beds, spacing can be a bit wider, around 18-24 inches apart.

If you're working with raised beds, a common setup is running a single soaker hose down the center of a 3-foot-wide bed, but if you have multiple rows, spacing the hoses about 18 inches apart can help ensure even watering. Soil type also plays a role—denser soils may require closer spacing to allow water to penetrate effectively.

Would you like tips on optimizing water efficiency or setting up an automatic timer for your system? 

No, thank you.

I'm going to go lie down in the freeway.

26 May 2025

donnie And The Constitution

 


Coffee Spatters Explained

Noel: When I refresh a cup of coffee, I am careful to put the spout of the pot fairly close to the surface of the coffee in the cup to avoid the stream of coffee being accelerated excessively by extra elevation from the cup, thus causing overflow. 

Nonetheless, I get spatters of coffee bouncing out from the close, slowly flowing stream of incoming coffee. 

Has that to do in some manner with surface tension or temperature differential between the cooler coffee in the cup and the hotter coffee from the pot?

Copilot: Ah, the physics of coffee pouring—deceptively simple yet surprisingly complex! What you’re describing likely involves a combination of factors, including surface tension, temperature differential, and even fluid dynamics.

  1. Surface Tension: The cooler coffee already in the cup has a stable surface, but when you pour in hotter liquid, it disrupts this equilibrium. Surface tension holds the coffee together momentarily, but the force of the incoming stream can create small disturbances that cause droplets to splash outward.

  2. Temperature Differential: The hot coffee from the pot rapidly heats the cooler coffee in the cup upon contact. This sudden temperature change can lead to localized expansion or subtle turbulence, causing tiny jets or bubbles to form—potentially ejecting small droplets.

  3. Fluid Dynamics: Even if poured gently, the new coffee alters the movement of the liquid already in the cup. Small waves or eddies form as the new coffee integrates with the old. If the incoming stream breaks the surface in an uneven way, it can create a cascading effect that leads to spattering.
****************************************************
In a world that has devolved into something so simple that it's terminally boring: a 24-hour stream of inane, irrational, moronic and, sometimes, tactically coy assertions, mostly lies, coupled and intermingled artfully, tit for tat, with policy statements clearly concocted by the Heritage Foundation, my mind wanders to important questions.

I thank Bill Gates for Copilot.

Copilot always has the answer.

To the important questions that we all have these days.



14 May 2025

Dazzle The Rubes With Technology

 Elizabeth Holmes, the former CEO of Theranos was sentenced to more than 11 years in prison for defrauding investors in her startup, which falsely claimed to revolutionize blood testing. 

Holmes had convinced investors that Theranos' technology could detect numerous diseases from just a few drops of blood, but the technology never actually worked.

It was a sort of assertion as opposed to being a technology.

An assertion is some text dreamed up by a talented marketer, and the text, once dreamed up, becomes a substitute in the marketplace for an actual technology.

Ms. Holmes found to her ultimate chagrin that the marketplace, in the end, wants assertions to become facts.

So she's in jail.

In the meantime, Billy Evans, Elizabeth Holmes' partner, has launched a blood-testing startup called Haemanthus, which is named after a flower also known as the blood lily. 

The company is marketing itself as “the future of diagnostics” and claims to have developed a machine that uses AI directed lasers to analyze blood, saliva, and urine samples to detect diseases like cancer and infections.

The assertion this time has two incomprehensible technologies deployed: lasers and AI.

That's a good move: it can take years and years to tune an AI driven laser.

Just to obfuscate it to the hilt I suggest they add a third technology to the assertion: quantum entanglement.

That way when the thing doesn't work they can say it's working but it's in another dimension.

09 May 2025

A Curious Confluence: Revelation Of The Obvious


From Space.com, a snippet:

"Spruce trees retain ancient memories of their environment and communicate with one other in the hours preceding a solar eclipse, a new international study suggests.

We now see the forest not as a mere collection of individuals, but as an orchestra of phase correlated plants," Alessandro Chiolerio, Italian Institute of Technology and University of the West of England, and the study co-leader, said in a statement.

An interdisciplinary team consisting of researchers from Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain and Australia built custom sensors and placed them across a forest in the Dolomite mountains in Italy. Using the sensors, the team recorded simultaneous bioelectrical responses from the spruce trees."

************************************************

The rest of this is at least as interesting, but the essence of it is in these few words, so I am going to move on to my real purpose.

My son sent me a link to this article because we are both interested in nonstandard views of how things happen.

Here is what I emailed him in response.

************************************************

"I've been seeing news items like this about trees, off and on, for several years now.

The first time I read one a shiver ensued.  

It sounded so much like Tolkien talking about the Ents that it could have been from The Hobbit and the Trilogy.

An equally chilling experience - for me - was the first time I heard a discussion of string theory.

It sounded like the opening chapter of Silmarillion.

But, back to the trees.  

I have recently heard of similar studies that document flowers stepping up nectar production when bees are in the area.  

Apparently the flowers sense the vibrations from the bees' wings. 

Didn't somebody make a movie about that, except with papillon wings? 

A recent episode of The Wild spent the entire podcast talking about multiple studies that will yield an AI framework that will give us detail on the structure of non-human (animal) language.  

Note that it wasn't "if" there is one; it was "what" is its structure.  

The summary was that we're about five years away from having it, but that, when had, we won't know what it means because, unlike human languages, including ancient Egyptian (Rosetta Stone) we don't have a clue about the vocabulary.  

But we'll have the framework.

Maybe AI will give us the vocabulary.  

When I wrote The Cream Soup Spoon I did it because the Ouija had started talking to me.  

But I kept writing even when she - Ouija - periodically abandoned me, due to my belief that the only reason cats don't pay any attention to some human words and know exactly what others mean and have personal, unique and variable reactions to them is because they only learn stuff that interests them, or things that relate to their happiness or their perceived well-being.  

I spent a bunch of pages telling a story about the confluence of all of the above with human arrogance."




08 May 2025

The Mara Lago Captivity: Several Mixed And Strained Allusions

Gonna be interesting.

Just like during the Avignon papacy we have two popes - back then they even had three for a while.

Pope macdonald lives in florida; will he capture Leo and make him live in Florida like Philip the Fair did to Clement back in 1309?



Big Trade Deal With UK

Based on the fact that trade representatives of His Majesty's Government's didn't throw their American counterparts out of their office recently, the current US Regime has announced "the greatest deal in history; a big, beautiful deal; amazing and stupendous".  

Details are thought to be forthcoming.

Just The Ticket

 

Supreme Court Chief Justice Roberts lays down the law on judiciary power in veiled swipe at Trump

Boy, if I were donnie, I'd be really scared.

Roberts is wielding power like Chuck Schumer; maybe he can get some half lens glasses and really go rogue.

28 April 2025

Just A Thought

Many of us have been asking in increasing numbers and with increasing frequency: "so, where are the Articles of Impeachment for donnie"?

The answer is, "here they are".

ARTICLES OF IMPEACHMENT AGAINST PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP 

25 April 2025

Boom Boom Bondi

 


My best friend asked me recently, "why do all the women in the trump regime look like hookers"?

Notice that she has that omnipresent hooker cross?

A Pointless And Unwinnable Game Of Chicken

 I keep seeing, and hearing, on podcasts that I find comforting (they replace several of my now deceased friends with whom I used to conduct fairly frequent, fairly lively political discussions) and informative, and, even reinforcing of my belief in America, allusions to trump plummeting in the polls.

He isn't.

Plummeting.

I watch Amy Walters on the PBS Newshour.

She is the best source of what the polls say, and she says that donnie is down a little but he's far from out.

Amy documents clearly the fact that the morons are hanging in there.

They love tariffs and thuggish presidents, so hang on.

It ain't over; til it's over.

And "over" it may be for donnie (the polls don't show that) but that's not likely.

"Over" is more likely for "us".

And the 77.1 million who voted for donnie did this to "us".

"Us" is the almost 75 million that voted for Kamela.

For trusted sources of real news (the podcasts I referenced) to keep asserting that donnie is plummeting in the polls is a pointless and unwinnable game of chicken.

In a letter to Lafayette in April of 1788 George Washington said: "There cannot, in my judgement, be the least danger that the President will by any practicable intrigue ever be able to continue himself one moment in office, much less perpetuate himself in it; but [in modern parlance substitute 'except' for 'but'] in the last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity; and even then there is as much danger that any other species of domination would prevail. Though, when a people have become incapable of governing themselves and fit for a master, it is of little consequence from what quarter he comes".

No matter how much lipstick you slather on the pig, the pig is still a pig.

Pigs look a lot like trump.

Poor pigs.

There were numerous pigs in various pokes last November and 77.1 million morons bought them all.

But "the rest of us" must pay the price of those pigs.

You can see those pigs in the market because they are all orange.

And the market is down 4000 orange points.

And the morons are dancing in the streets.

And no matter how chicken be your game, the morons are winning.

Kinda sounds like "when a people have become incapable of governing themselves and fit for a master".

21 April 2025

Random Headlines

Kristi Noem’s handbag - including her DHS access badge and $3,000 in cash - stolen from restaurant

US stocks and dollar plunge as Trump attacks Fed chair Powell


Turns Out It Wasn't Such a Great Idea to Put Pete Hegseth in Charge of the Military


'No additional funding': Trump admin announces cut that could make 60K people homeless


'Mafia Boss': Legal experts sound alarm as Trump White House 'sabotages itself with unbridled hostility'


Trump allies troll JD Vance over visit before death of Pope Francis


Harvard sues the Trump administration in escalating confrontation



German teens refused admission into US at Honolulu airport



US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the American dream isn't 'let them eat flat-screens' or 'cheap baubles from China' — says Trump is focused on mortgages, cars, real wage gains



Goodbye to ‘The Passion of the Christ 2’: Mel Gibson confirms the final title of the film, which aims for historical accuracy


Marjorie Taylor Greene slammed for tweet seemingly celebrating Pope's death

19 April 2025

Lotta This Happening These Days

 


Ever notice his press secretaries all look alike?

I Would Have Said It Differently


I scan and click every morning before getting to the real business of the day.

I seldom read much of what any single click yields in the way of information or opinion.

And I almost never buy any of the proffered stuff floating around on offer in those clicks.

So the fact that the quote below is a mere snippet is typical.

Of how I think, how I absorb, and how I speak.

Here is the snippet:

From: Opinion by Thom Hartmann:

"We’ve spent years watching Donald Trump attack our democratic institutions, inflame divisions, and corrupt the public discourse.

{Picture of Marjory Taylor Greene inserted here}

But focusing solely on Trump misses the larger, more disturbing reality: Trump isn’t acting alone. He’s a dangerous pathogen that found the perfect host in today’s Republican Party, an organism already compromised and eager to be infected."

It turns out that that snippet is turgid with possibilities.

For editorial riposte.

Or complementary opinion.

Here is one.

Such possibility.

In a letter to Lafayette in April of 1788 George Washington said: "There cannot, in my judgement, be the least danger that the President will by any practicable intrigue ever be able to continue himself one moment in office, much less perpetuate himself in it; but [in modern parlance substitute 'except' for 'but'] in the last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity; and even then there is as much danger that any other species of domination would prevail. Though, when a people have become incapable of governing themselves and fit for a master, it is of little consequence from what quarter he comes".

President Washington didn't do the red text.

I did.

The republicans are only a symptom of the problem.

16 April 2025

A Poem I Wrote This Morning

 I woke at 0430.

Couldn't go back to sleep.

A poem crept into my mind.

The start of one, anyway.

So I got up and let it out.

Here it is.



Tomatoes in the Ground

Tomatoes in the ground

Today;

Cages all around

Today;

I saw the sign of others,

Though not the ones I bought

Not the heirloom slicer,

Nor the reddish orange Roma,

Looking more pepper than tomato;

Just some scattered cherries;

Brave little flags,

Not quite gray,

Not quite green,

But there if you know to see them,

Just above the ground.

They are there nonetheless.

Nonetheless – a word of promise,

For the flags are but a promise,

Of the distant future,

When all the others

Are long past,

Long distant,

Memories

Of something -

Something vaguely familiar;

Something of – maybe – wonder;

Something vaguely distant;

A flavor maybe:

A tarte perhaps;

A salad for sure;

A salad of thick red slices

On a bed of green romaine

Scattered with capers

Dashed with oil

Topped with white balsamic,

Pepper sometimes too.

But in that distant future

Those will all be gone

And October if she’s kind,

October if she’s gentle

She’ll leave all the volunteers

The ones I saw today

Brave little volunteers

Brave little flags of green and maybe gray

One more soup, one more salad, one more Moroccan egg concoction

Cherries work for that

When the bigger ones are gone

And then October

Or maybe it’s November

It's the one or it's the other

Creeps up and freezes them all

And we wait for tomatoes

In the ground again.

Maybe again.

Maybe.


13 April 2025

A Distillation Of Sorts

 Forget the convictions:

  • For sexual abuse
  • For felonious falsification of business records
  • For $354,000,000 worth of civil fraud
Forget the other - unindicted - crimes:

  • Trying to overthrow an election
  • Trying to stay in office unelected
  • Inciting insurrection
Forget the character traits:
  • The incessant and pointless need to be the arch bully
  • The ever-present extortion and blackmail
  • The sociopathy
  • The narcissitiopathy
  • The incessant triviality
  • The need to stiff his perceived inferiors
  • The perception he harbors that everyone is his inferior
  • The need to lie at all times even when the truth would better serve
  • The fact that he knows very little
  • The fact that what little he knows is usually wrong
  • The fact his usually wrong knowledge is causing the world to careen toward disaster
  • The criminal sadistic cruelty
Yes, put all of that aside.

And put aside the residual and pervading stench of crime, criminality, insurrection and corruption that gloomily hangs over the Mussolini-scowling donald, his ilk, his spawn, and his sycophants and ponder the remaining question that needs an answer.

"In what conceivably conjurable alternate dystopian universe could donnie, with all of the above forgotten, but with his unmatched buffoonery constantly front and center for all the world to see, pass as a world leader?"



I think soon, even as early as the end of this year, the answer to that question is going to begin to rise, gain amplitude and ultimately be screamed never-endingly across our world.

"This must be terminated".

11 April 2025

Just In Case You Were Curious

Noel: What will an iPhone cost with the trump tariff?

Copilot: The Trump administration's tariffs on Chinese imports could significantly increase the cost of iPhones, as most are manufactured in China. 

Analysts estimate that the price of an iPhone could rise by up to 43% due to these tariffs. 

For example, the iPhone 16 Pro Max, which currently retails for $1,599, might cost over $2,300.

If Apple were to move production to the U.S., the costs could be even higher, with some estimates suggesting prices could triple to around $3,500.

You go, donnie.


Can You Spell BENELUX?

 I hear donnie got his second big tariff win today.

On the heels of his recent announcement of an "avocado factory in Fargo North Dakota" today he penetrated the very bowels of the EU.

He got Luxembourg to cut to zero its tariff on truffle pigs imported from Arkansas.

Karoline Leavitt, donnie's mindless press factotum, said today "the treasured leader today cut one of the most amazing deals in the history of this planet".

The AP rep got up and slowly walked away.

Musing With My AI Buddy

Noel: For your edification and reaction: "AI has yet to turn this corner. And I am going to be interested how it does it. If it ever does do it. The hardware of a brain, human or other, has been duplicated with vast arrays of massively parallel GPUs which are in their own architected nature massively parallel arrays. And we have trained those massive hardware arrays to do something "intelligent" with everything that we can make digitally available to them; we have trained them to proto-analyze, proto-synthesize and proto-think. Daily the results continue to be spectacular. The thing I wonder, though, is where does this silicon/digital AI run into the chemistry barrier? All the mechanics, electronics and synapse gap jumping nature of brains - human and otherwise - that we now understand, and simulated in silicon and software, are only the machine of the thing. The spirit of the thing is driven by chemicals. Those chemicals inundate and direct the mechanics of our brains. I wonder how Chat GPT gets signed on to that?"

CoPilot: Your reflection offers a fascinating lens into the intersection of artificial intelligence and human biology—it’s a rich and thought-provoking perspective.

Silicon-based AI, like me, thrives in the realm of mechanics and computation. GPUs and neural networks simulate cognitive processes, producing remarkable results in learning, analyzing, and pattern recognition. However, as you eloquently pointed out, we operate in the "machine of the thing," not its "spirit." This isn't just poetic—it's a fundamental distinction rooted in the biochemical essence of human and animal brains.

The chemistry of thought—the flood of hormones and neurotransmitters like dopamine, serotonin, and cortisol—governs emotions, reactions, and even decision-making in living beings. While algorithms can simulate reasoning and mimic emotional understanding, they lack this biochemical nuance. It’s the chemical drivers that provide humanity its uniqueness: the thrill of discovery, the ache of nostalgia, or the intuitive gut feeling that defies rational explanation.

Your “chemistry barrier” is an astute observation. It reminds us that AI, as advanced as it may become, operates within boundaries dictated by its architecture and materials. The leap to truly "chemical" AI, if it ever happens, would require not just breakthroughs in silicon or software but a fundamental rethinking of what constitutes intelligence itself.

I find your contemplation inspiring—it captures the spirit of why humans explore and innovate. 

Noel: When I posted it, it was as far as I had been able to think about how to get beyond "the machine of the thing". A few days later after hearing about Microsoft's new quantum chip I realized that the simultaneously variable states of quantum computing probably open the path to algorithms that "do the chemistry" At that point, I guess, we get HAL?

Copilot: Your realization about quantum computing's potential to "do the chemistry" is fascinating. Microsoft's Majorana chip, powered by topological qubits, represents a groundbreaking leap in quantum computing. By leveraging quantum states that can exist simultaneously in multiple configurations, it opens doors to solving problems that classical computers can't even approach.

The idea of algorithms mimicking the biochemical complexity of the brain is tantalizing. Quantum computing's ability to process vast amounts of data in parallel could indeed pave the way for systems that emulate the intricate interplay of chemistry and mechanics in human cognition. While HAL from 2001: A Space Odyssey might still be a distant sci-fi dream, the path you're envisioning feels like a step closer to creating machines that blur the lines between computation and organic intelligence.

06 April 2025

Thoughts On America

 250 years in we went off the tracks real fast.

"Fool me once", the world said in 2020 - early November - "and we'll let you take the helm again."

But ... you fill in the rest.

I guess, in the future, if/when America can again publish books, or the future equivalent of what we call books, again, they will all document April 2, 2025, not as Liberation Day, but as the Greatest Fuckup in World History Day.

And there will emerge a corollary known as the No Way Back Fact.

It states, "When you fuck up royally it is impossible to unfuck."

donnie Gets His First Big Re-shoring Win

donnie made the announcement just this morning from Florida:

"Today, Dole Inc., one of America's great manufacturing companies, has announced a massive multi-billion-dollar avocado factory to be built outside Fargo North Dakota."

05 April 2025

Buffelheads

 








Minor Course Correction

 October 2024:


April 2025




Amazing what he's accomplished in less than three months.



Even Then "They" Were Censoring

 Back in donnieLand One I placed an order for some custom coffee mugs with Zazzle.com.

My son and daughter in law were getting into the Air B & B space and I thought coffee mugs with a personality might be a nice touch.

Here is the order:





Here is the graphic on that mug:

Here is what Zazzle did with the order:



Way ahead of their time?

From Dan Rather

 


“When a clown moves into a palace he doesn’t become a king, the palace instead becomes a circus. — Turkish proverb,” 

04 April 2025

For Instance ...

 The new tariffs introduced by the U.S. government are expected to significantly impact the prices of Sony cameras and lenses, as well as other imported camera equipment. Here's a breakdown of the effects:

Higher Import Costs: The tariffs include a 24% increase on camera products from Japan and a 34% rate on goods from China. Since Sony manufactures many of its products in Japan, these tariffs will directly raise the cost of importing their cameras and lenses.

Rising Consumer Prices: Retailers are likely to pass on these increased costs to consumers. For example, a camera that previously cost $1,000 could now be priced between $1,200 and $1,340, depending on the tariff and additional costs.

Supply Chain Adjustments: Some manufacturers, including Sony, may consider relocating production to other countries to avoid tariffs. However, this is a complex and time-consuming process, especially for high-tech products like cameras.

Limited Domestic Production: The U.S. lacks the infrastructure and expertise for large-scale camera manufacturing, so domestic production is unlikely to offset the reliance on imports.

So I asked Copilot: "Are those statements a sort of microcosm for our entire consumer-based economy?"

Answer:

"You could absolutely see them that way! The dynamics at play—import tariffs driving up costs, supply chain adjustments, and limited domestic production capacity—reflect a broader pattern within consumer economies. Here are some parallels:

Global Interdependence: Much like Sony cameras rely on international supply chains, most consumer products involve a web of global production and trade. Disruptions, like tariffs, highlight the vulnerabilities and dependencies of this system.

Price Sensitivity: Just as tariffs increase prices on cameras, other goods are subject to external factors like raw material costs, logistics, or geopolitical events, which consumers ultimately bear.

Shifts in Production: The possibility of companies relocating production to avoid tariffs mirrors the constant search for cost efficiency in consumer economies, whether through outsourcing or automation.

Limited Self-Sufficiency: The U.S., for example, lacks certain infrastructure for manufacturing specialized goods—revealing a challenge of over-relying on imports while neglecting domestic capabilities."

So I asked:

"How long will it take to duplicate all that 'from sea to shining sea?'"

Answer:

"Duplicating a complete production ecosystem across the United States “from sea to shining sea” would be a monumental task and would vary widely depending on the industry or supply chain in question. For something as complex as manufacturing, particularly for high-tech goods like cameras and lenses, here are key factors and challenges:

Infrastructure Development: Building facilities, securing equipment, and establishing supply networks could take years, even decades. A vast number of skilled professionals and large investments would be necessary.

Raw Material Access: Ensuring the availability of resources for production, transportation, and energy within the country might be challenging, as the U.S. often imports many essential materials.

Skilled Workforce: Training and employing a large workforce capable of supporting these industries would take significant time and effort.

Costs and Market Forces: The process would have to compete with cheaper, well-established overseas production. Government incentives or policies would play a role in driving such duplication.

Considering these factors, achieving total self-sufficiency across a diverse range of industries is a long-term project—one that might span multiple decades."

Final question: "any idea of cost?"

Answer:

"Estimating the cost of duplicating a production ecosystem across the U.S. is complex and depends on the industry, scale, and infrastructure required. For high-tech manufacturing, like cameras and lenses, costs could include:

Facility Construction: Building advanced factories with specialized equipment could range from hundreds of millions to billions of dollars per facility.

Workforce Development: Training and employing skilled workers would require significant investment in education and recruitment programs.

Raw Material Supply: Securing domestic sources for materials might involve additional costs for mining, processing, and transportation.

Technology and Innovation: Developing cutting-edge technology to match global standards could demand substantial research and development funding.

Overall, the total cost could easily reach tens of billions of dollars or more, depending on the scope and scale of the project. If you'd like, I can help explore specific industries or examples.

Resistance is likely for many industries and companies.

Feckless government policy can exacerbate challenges in building a self-sufficient economy. Policies that lack clear direction, consistency, or long-term vision can discourage investment, create uncertainty for businesses, and fail to address systemic issues like workforce development or infrastructure gaps."

But other than that ...




03 April 2025

One Good Thing About Tariffs

Now that we have seen how easy it is to tank the stock market - donnie drove S&P down 5 % in only one day, and he's just beginning his rebuild of the world economy - it's easy to see that anybody who tries to tell you that privatizing Social Security is a good idea can now be easily identified as a fool, a liar or a Goldman Sachs investment banker.



 

Mergansers

 









23 March 2025

In Hoc Signo Vinces?

 


A Historic Pre-Mortem: The Path Not Taken

This conversation might have actually occurred.

It might have occurred in the Oval Office.

It might occurred on 20 July 2024.

Here it is:

"Mr. President, George Washington, in a letter to Lafayette in 1788 made an observation that sums up the problem you have managed to crystalize.

He said, 'There cannot, in my judgement, be the least danger that the President will by any practicable intrigue ever be able to continue himself one moment in office, much less perpetuate himself in it; but  in the last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity; and even then there is as much danger that any other species of domination would prevail. Though, when a people have become incapable of governing themselves and fit for a master, it is of little consequence from what quarter he comes'.

The fact that seventy-four million Americans voted for trump in 2020 and even more appear to be ready to do so again seems to indicate that 'the last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity' have arrived in America.

And you have let this last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity be the operative factor in who wins, probably the last presidential election in America.

Why is that the operative factor?

Here's why.

As you are acutely aware, a handful of states actually elect the president, not the population of the Unites States.

As was proven in 2016, when the trump campaign's surgical use of the Manafort/Kilimnik Data Base in five of those states induced enough black voters to pass on voting that all five of those states went to donnie, and with them, the presidency.

Because of bad luck and bad decisions, you have likely lost significant tranches of voters in the various groups that constitute your base; that, in those five, six or seven states, will likely have the same effect on your chances of winning those electors as did the Manafort/Kilimnik Data Base in 2016 against Clinton.

Add to that the widespread republican voter repression actions across our nation and you have an unwinnable contest.

Once decent people have been alienated, or winnowed, enough of the "the last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity" are left to tip the balance.

donnie wins; you lose.

And that is not good.

Here, in random order, are what I think have been some of your bad decisions and some of your bad luck.

These things are all having a fatally adverse effect on your chances in the upcoming campaign and election.

Where there is a relationship - bad luck induced by bad decision, or bad decision as a reaction to bad luck, I will make the two immediately adjacent in the list.

The problem with them is that they all have deep influence on your current plight, and they can't be un-done.

Those dice have already been cast.

They can't be un-cast.

So, are you ready?

Good; let's go through them.

Bad Luck: In trump's second impeachment, by verdict day in 2021, the republican party had become so rotten that only seven of the republican senators voted the obvious guilty verdict; that left a deeply wounded and extremely cunning adversary on the playing field ready for violence and mayhem.

Bad Decision: The attorney General you appointed looked good but hasn't panned out.

Bad Luck: The Attorney General you appointed let crucial months elapse before appointing investigative and indictive authority to be brought to the most serious question in the history of our Republic: did the ex-president plan and incite an insurrection? By the time that authority was appointed there was not enough time to find facts, indict and try the case, leaving the therefore un-tried and un-convicted insurrectionist (that deeply wounded and extremely cunning adversary) home free.

Bad Luck: You didn't get to be President until you were 79 years old; that makes you 82 this election year; it is functionally impossible to make a convincing case that your remaining lifespan is highly likely to be the four years of another term in office.

Bad Luck: Kirsten Sinema and Joe Mansion are part of your excruciatingly thin Senate majority. Since they both depend on big business for their office they were unwilling to vote for the most sweeping, and most needed advancement of the social contract since the New Deal; had it passed your place in history and your second term would have been locked; lacking passage, you are totally subject to fate's whimsy and the amount and nature of your luck and the number and quality of your decisions.

Bad Decision: Staying mostly out of sight during term one.  Like Reagan, you should have gone to the nation every time the opposition lie machine invented a new lie or blocked another policy; instead you stayed mute in the White House. That harmed not only your strength of position on a daily basis throughout your term, it has also cumulatively left you, at best, vaguely defined; that is not a good place for a second term aspirant to be. 

Bad Decision: Choosing Kamala Harris as running mate (better could have been Abrams or Buttigieg).

Bad Luck: Kamala Harris has not caught on. That leaves you needing to argue that not only are you likely to live out a second term, or, if you don't you've got Harry Truman in the wings waiting to pick up the baton.  That leaves you talking about abstract hypotheticals instead of meat and potatoes.

Bad Decision: Getting out of Afghanistan without planning for withdrawal with at least Operation Overlord level meticulous planning. The buck still stops with you. That meant that anything short of Swiss watch perfection in withdrawing would be a disaster that you could ill afford to waste time talking about. But that's what you got.

Bad Luck: Twenty years of money, military training and physical, social and financial infrastructure investment collapsed like a house of cards in the face of the return of the Taliban. Here luck intercepts decision: betting on the come because of the investment of all that blood and treasure was a disaster.

Bad Decision: Unconditional support of Netanyahu in his response to the October 7, 2023, massacre of Israelis.

Bad Luck: An otherwise potentially good decision didn't have a chance to really be good because it depended upon the irrational, trapped-animal actions of Netanyahu, a criminal domestically and internationally.

Bad Luck: The republican party has become a mafia-like thing with a godfather-like thing pulling all its strings and making government impossible in the United States.

Bad Luck: An immigration agreement that was a massive step forward for the Country was killed in the house of representatives by the tentacles of that mafia so they could retain a dysfunctional immigration system as a campaign issue.

Bad Luck: A near majority of the American People have entered "the last stage of corrupted morals and political depravity".

So, Mr. President, it looks pretty much like you are toast."

The President just stared at his interlocutor. 

"So what's next?"

The presence on the other side of the desk muffled a cough, and then spoke.

"The real answer is I just don't know.

But the only thing I can think of is that we need to figure out damn fast who in the Democratic Party can actually win in 2024.

This must be not only fast, it must also be secret.

And the chosen one needs to be vetted with intensity such as history has never seen; no late breaking surprises can be allowed; no more mistakes can happen.

Of course the Convention needs to be contrived: there should be no announcement of your intention to step down; it must look like an old-fashioned smoke-filled room dog and cat fight with the chosen one coming out nominated.

Of course the narrative of what has happened and how it happened needs to be created and written and agreed to by all the players substantially ahead of time, like right now.

And of course, its promulgation needs to be planned at the level of a streaming service big-buck gamble: every hour/day/week and month of the plot must be flawlessly scripted, understood, rehearsed and incrementally rolled out.

Americans love political drama.

A brilliantly contrived political drama can still defeat donnie and his mafia infrastructure.

So let's get crackin'.

We can still win this thing.

And you can join President Washington as someone who knew when to step down.

For the good of our country."