28 June 2026

Must Be Some Sort Of Agenda

Replacement fertility is 2.1.

The U.S. has been running 1.6–1.7 for years.

Immigration has historically been the U.S. demographic engine.

For more than a century, immigration has been the thing that kept:

  • the workforce young
  • the dependency ratio manageable
  • Social Security solvent

Every Trustees’ report for decades has quietly assumed continued net immigration as a stabilizing factor.

If you cut immigration sharply — or reverse it through mass deportation — you remove the only functioning demographic lever the U.S. has left.

Not ideology. Arithmetic.

  • Deportation on a large scale accelerates the collapse dynamics
  • If you remove millions of working‑age people:
  • payroll tax revenue drops
  • the worker‑to‑retiree ratio worsens
  • trust‑fund depletion accelerates
  • the size of the eventual benefit cut increases

This is not speculative.

It’s the same math the Trustees use — just with different inputs.


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